Kevin RooseLead source
I've been thinking all week about the METR report claiming roughly 2x internal acceleration at Anthropic. I know it was objectively not the biggest AI story of the week, but it has caused some credible people (like @paulfchristiano and @DKokotajlo) to become much more worried about a near-term intelligence explosion, where AI capabilities increase rapidly beyond expert-human levels and we risk losing control. (Near-term as in: maybe it could happen next year.) I hope they're wrong! They might be wrong. I'm still not fully persuaded by the acceleration data, and a lot of the important details in the METR report were redacted. But I find myself doing a lot of handwaving and nitpicking to avoid thinking about what it would mean if they were right. We spent the B segment of @MachineGodsPod…Read original on X